Good afternoon everyone, thank you for joining our live chat today.
Luc from Ipsos Reid will be joining us very shortly, he's just getting signed on.
We saw a decline in the voting intentions about 3 weeks ago.
Was there a specific trigger to the decline?
In fact 3 weeks ago was the start of the decline. It corresponds roughly to the time their new candidate (Peladeau) came in and the talk was more oriented on a referendum.
Similar question coming up from Sam.
Yes. But at the same time, the CAQ seems to be a potential option for the Liberals voters. Though this "potential" is not materializing for now.
There's no simple answer to this. The fact is, people seem more to be leaving the PQ than really being attracted by the PLQ and Couillard.
Looking at the poll results released last night, some interesting differences when it comes to support from English vs. French voters. Can you shed some light on this?
Good point. Liberals & PQ are at the same level (31%) among French voters. That's a first in a long time. Again, it doesn't come from a raise for the PLC but from a persistent decline of the PQ.
Not too sure about that. Most of the citizens don't really appreciate these mud fights right now and would prefer that our politicians stick to the issues that they are suppose to talk about: economy, health care, etc.
The economy has been a major issue as well. Who did poll respondents say would be better suited to manage the province’s economy and why?
@JRock: As you say, with the actual noise, nothing can emerge as much as it could have earlier.
33 Couillard, 27 Marois, 24 Legault, from our past poll.
That's for who would be better suited to manage the economy
@Sam: in a nutshell: PQ and PLQ attract more the older segments of the population. QS attracts the younger ones (-35) and CAQ the families (35-54).
Editor's note: a few questions piling up. They're going in one-by-one.
Also: PLQ very strong on Mtl Island and PQ a bit better in Montreal's suburbs
In fact, that's very close. The big difference is with the two other parties. Almost half of their voters say they could still change their mind. PLQ has very hard core supporters (example: among the anglophone) that wouldn't go for another party.
Q: Almost a third of voters are still undecided. What could this mean come election day on Monday? What will it take to sway the votes one way or another?
Good question. I think the last days, and appearances, are going to be crucial. People still need to be convinced.
It's the CAQ and QS supporters that are both at 57%. Their vote will be determinant for the result. The CAQ supporters could go to either PLQ or PQ but more likely to PLQ. As for the QS voters, they can only go to PQ. That's what they're telling us.
Ok last question coming up from @JRock
Find the one thing people will like to hear and STICK to it. Keeping in mind that the gain can be made among QS supporters and CAQ.
Alright...and that concludes today's live chat. Thanks everyone for joining and participating.
Thanks Luc - and there will be more poll results released later today. We'll have them on our website @ 6 p.m.